Markets exhibit a divergence of opinions regarding a potential Fed rate hike in September, particularly in anticipation of significant inflation data releases. Rising oil prices and shifting diplomatic signals over the Strait of Hormuz contribute to increased market volatility. Scotiabank observes that the recent fluctuations in the Pound are predominantly influenced by market sentiment, closely … Read more
AUD/USD experiences a decline as market participants exhibit a lack of consensus regarding a potential Federal Reserve rate increase in September, particularly in light of upcoming crucial inflation data releases. Despite the increase in oil prices, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in September decreased from 52% to almost 48%. MUFG and Westpac … Read more
The Japanese Yen remains stable during the Mountain Day holiday as markets consider the possibility of intervention in the context of limited liquidity. The BoJ may raise rates in September to counter inflation stemming from a depreciating yen and escalating oil prices. A lacklustre July US payrolls report generated challenges for the US Dollar, leading … Read more
AUD/USD experiences an uptick as a robust Australian Dollar finds support in anticipation of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s forthcoming interest rate decision. The RBA is widely anticipated to maintain its cash rate at 4.35% for a second consecutive meeting. A weak July payrolls report created headwinds for the US Dollar, introducing rate uncertainty following … Read more
The USD/JPY appreciates as divergent perspectives within the Bank of Japan regarding prospective rate increases maintain downward pressure on the Yen. Japan recorded an unforeseen current account deficit of JPY 92.3 billion in June, marking its first deficit in 17 months, attributed to substantial foreign dividend payouts. Escalating tensions between the US and Iran have … Read more
AUD/USD maintains its decline as the demand for the US Dollar as a safe haven increases, driven by escalating tensions between the US and Iran, along with risks in the Strait of Hormuz. A surprising decline of 23,000 Nonfarm Payrolls in July has dampened expectations for an imminent interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve. … Read more
Australia’s Trade Surplus reached A$1,929M in June, significantly surpassing expectations, propelled by a 9.6% increase in exports. An Iran-Oman shipping agreement in the Strait of Hormuz has diminished the demand for the US Dollar as a safe haven. US private payrolls increased by a mere 44K in July, falling short of expectations and exerting pressure … Read more
The USD/CHF pair experiences a decline as the US Dollar shows signs of weakening, attributed to a decrease in safe-haven demand. An agreement between Iran and Oman regarding shipping routes in the Strait of Hormuz has heightened expectations for a boost in energy flows from the Middle East. Swiss inflation unexpectedly declined to 0.4% in … Read more
USD/JPY softens to approximately 157.65 in the early Asian session on Thursday. Bessent stated that the US supported Japanese Yen intervention to assist in stabilising Asian currencies. The US July jobs data will attract significant attention later on Friday. The USD/JPY pair is currently positioned in negative territory, hovering around 157.65 in the early hours … Read more
On Wednesday, the USD/JPY declined to 157.47, as the Japanese yen halted its recent appreciation. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reaffirmed Washington’s support for Japan following the historic joint currency intervention. Over three sessions, the yen appreciated by nearly 5% following coordinated purchases by Tokyo and Washington, representing the largest such operation in decades. Both … Read more
