RBA Governor Bullock warned that persistent inflation may force another interest rate hike in September. UBS projects two additional Australian rate hikes, forecasting a terminal interest rate of 4.85%. Traders are pricing in an October Fed rate hike probability of 53.1%. AUD/USD extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around 0.7120 during the … Read more
AUD/USD is showing resilience as it approaches 0.7090 during the early hours of Thursday’s Asian session. The Fed has opted to raise the benchmark rate to a range of 3.75% to 4.0% as of Wednesday. The IMF indicated that the RBA ought to be prepared to increase rates as necessary, highlighting the potential risks associated … Read more
AUD/USD softens to near 0.7160 in the early hours of Monday’s Asian session. US CPI accelerated in August, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates on Wednesday. Hawkish signals from the RBA may serve to mitigate the Australian dollar’s declines. The AUD/USD pair experiences a slight decline, trading near 0.7160 in the … Read more
Robust second-quarter GDP figures have heightened anticipations for an interest rate increase by the Reserve Bank of Australia, with the market fully pricing in a move for November. Fed Waller’s dovish remarks have reduced the probability of a September US rate hike to 50.2%. Traders are anticipating the release of US Nonfarm Payrolls, which are … Read more
AUD appreciates as robust July inflation figures strengthen expectations for a rate increase by the Reserve Bank of Australia. Markets currently anticipate a rate increase in November, as leading banks project an earlier tightening of monetary policy. Traders are poised for Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s upcoming speech at Jackson Hole, seeking directional insights regarding … Read more
AUD/USD remains resilient amid increasing expectations for rate hikes from the RBA, even in the face of disappointing capital expenditure figures. Hotter July inflation has led major banks to predict an imminent increase in the RBA cash rate to 4.6%. A firm US Dollar, supported by robust PCE inflation data, limits the upside potential for … Read more
Australia’s Wage Price Index increased by 3.2% year-on-year in Q2 2026, aligning with expectations even as it reached a multi-quarter low. RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser cautioned that inflation continues to be elevated, necessitating a more stringent monetary policy to temper economic demand. Weak US retail sales and a cooling inflation environment have led to … Read more
AUD/USD rises as diminishing expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike maintain pressure on the US Dollar. Trump’s refusal to renew the Iran deal and naval blockades heighten global geopolitical tensions. Markets are poised for the release of this week’s Australian consumer confidence figures alongside the second-quarter wage price index data. AUD/USD continues to rise … Read more
The Reserve Bank of Australia’s aggressive policy approach strengthens the Australian dollar, which causes the AUD/USD ratio to rise. Analysts observe that the RBA upheld a hawkish stance, with Governor Bullock cautioning that the bank would take action if necessary. US Retail Sales declined by 0.6% in July, which has dampened market expectations regarding forthcoming … Read more
RBA’s Kent observed that rate hikes are having an effect, although additional increases could be on the table should new risks arise. Softer US PPI inflation data has tempered expectations for Fed rate hikes, thereby bolstering the AUD/USD pair. Markets have adjusted the likelihood of a September Fed rate hike to 34.8% in light of … Read more
